Update 2016-07-28: Just use the NEVER10.exe tool: https://www.grc.com/never10.htm
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Here’s what I found to work to prevent Windows 10 from caching or prompting in Windows 7 or Windows 8:
If you are using Windows 7, locate the following updates: 3035583, 2952664, 3021917
If you are using Windows 8, locate the following updates: 3035583, 2976978
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Windows Registry Editor Version 5.00 – Removes the icon in task tray
[HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINE\SOFTWARE\Policies\Microsoft\Windows\Gwx]
“DisableGwx”=dword:00000001
[HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINE\SOFTWARE\Policies\Microsoft\Windows\WindowsUpdate]
“DisableOSUpgrade”=dword:00000001
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You ll probably have to create the WindowsUpdate key on the left-hand side, which you can do by right-clicking the Windows node.